What is institutional real estate?
Top-quality commercial properties, usually congregated
in large portfolios, managed professionally
on behalf of third-party owners or beneficiaries.
How big is the institutional real estate market?
The commercial real estate marketplace in the
United States currently is estimated at $4.8
trillion. The market capitalization of equity
real estate investment trusts (REIT) is approximately
$350 billion.
Is real estate primarily an equity vehicle or an income vehicle?
Traditionally, pension funds have viewed real
estate as a relatively high-income-producing
asset class with equity characteristics, and
underwriting has focused primarily on assessing
the quality or sustainability of cash flow.
Over the past several years, many investors
have been changing their perspectives, viewing
real estate now as more of an equity asset
class with better-than-average income characteristics.
As more and more pension funds begin to pay
out more cash to beneficiaries (i.e., pensioners)
than they are receiving in annual
contributions, they can be expected to become
much more income-oriented so that they will
be in a better position to fund those negative
cash flows without having to liquidate assets.
Because of its inherent potential for generating
relatively high cash distributions, we would
expect pension funds to
continue to view real estate as an income-producing
asset with equity characteristics.
Who are the players?
Pension funds own an estimated $245 billion of
institutional real estate; their portfolios
usually are managed by investment advisory
firms. REITs dominate property ownership of
the retail sectors and are significant investors
in other property sectors as well. In recent
years, private equity firms such as The Blackstone
Group and The Carlyle Group have assumed a
large role with their high-yield commingled
fund offerings. Other investors competing for
institutional-quality assets include high-net-worth
individuals, family trusts and foreign investors.
Who are the top pension fund real estate advisers?
We sell a semi-annual special report that ranks
the top real
estate advisers for $65. A great resource
is the Money Market Directory of Pension Funds
and their Investment Managers (published by
Standard & Poor's
for about $1,300). Our sponsors and advertisers
include the biggest advisers in the country;
check out our
sponsor interviews and profiles. These
listings provide the names and addresses of
key contacts at each of our sponsor firms plus
detailed information you won't find elsewhere.
Where does investment capital come from?
Commercial banks supply large amounts of capital
to the market, as do pension funds and other
tax-exempt investors. REITs also invest and
lend, provided the capital market windows remain
open. And Wall Street will continue to provide
new capital in the form of existing and new
securitized debt instruments, again, assuming
the capital market windows remain open.
Where does construction financing come from?
Construction financing is coming and will continue to come from pension funds, pension fund advisers, opportunistic funds, REITs, commercial banks and Wall Street. Pension funds and pension fund advisers will invest directly in joint ventures on both a project basis as well as at the entity level. Opportunistic funds have been making investments in joint ventures, operating companies and projects with the return rather than the structure driving the deal. REITs will continue to develop real estate, either for their own account or in joint venture with third-party development companies employing off-balance-sheet partnership structures or by issuing forward-funding commitments to purchase or finance completed projects once stabilized occupancy has been achieved. Commercial banks will continue to invest in construction finance, as will Wall Street, which will be attracted by the higher profits available early in the development cycle.
What are the general trends in real estate portfolio management?
The most important trend is an awareness that it exists as a profession, and that its practice is important. Most of the 1980s and 1990s were dedicated to the assembly of portfolios. While assembling portfolios is still a concern, especially with the global competition for good properties at attractive prices, the need to manage portfolios prudently also has become important. The primary role of a portfolio manager is to help define portfolio objectives, and then to construct and manage the portfolio so as to achieve those objectives at the lowest tolerable level of risk.
What's the difference between portfolio management, asset management and property management?
A portfolio manager is responsible for a portfolio
of assets and typically operates for the benefit
of a third party. Portfolio managers tend to
operate at the strategic level, focusing on
the development or clarification of portfolio
risk and return objectives, on the construction
and strategic management of portfolios, and
on the monitoring of both market conditions
and portfolio performance within the context
of overall portfolio objectives.
Asset managers
and property managers tend to focus more on
tactics, i.e., on the implementation of portfolio
strategy. Asset managers typically report to
portfolio managers and work through third-party
property managers, who report to the asset
managers. Asset managers, therefore, are focused
on managing collections of assets (as opposed
to portfolios) and often are regionally focused.
Their primary objective is to coordinate the
activities of local property management personnel
toward the achievement of the portfolio strategies
established by the portfolio managers to whom
they report.
Property managers typically are responsible
for managing the day-to-day operations at the
property level, either full-time on-site at
one property or for a collection of properties
within a specified submarket, market or region.
Duties usually include leasing and property
operations (maintenance, engineering, tenant
relationships, on-site construction management,
property-level accounting or data entry, and
such). Property managers either report to portfolio
managers (in vertically integrated companies)
or to asset managers (in companies that are
not vertically integrated).
What are the hot issues right now in the industry?
For our pension fund readers, the hottest issues include: 1) how to integrate public and private real estate investment portfolio strategies into a cohesive overall strategy consistent with and supportive of their overall investment portfolio strategy; 2) how to add global real estate investment to their portfolio management strategy; 3) how to capitalize, without taking undue risk, on arbitrage opportunities that might be presenting themselves in the markets, such as the present public-to-private opportunities available in the REIT industry; 4) how to improve alignments of interests with advisers, consultants and other service providers; 5) how to continue to grow their investment portfolios, without a disproportionate increase in staffing; 6) how to reduce the overall cost of portfolio administration; 7) and, as always, how to fund their liabilities at the lowest possible overall risk.
For investment advisory and opportunistic fund
managers, the hottest issue is how to survive
and grow their firms in an increasingly dynamic
environment and in the face of ever-changing
investor expectations and requirements. Should
they sell, acquire another firm, allow their
firm to be acquired, remain private, build a
securities management capability, go international
or go public are paramount issues in many advisers'
minds, not to mention the prospect of how to
properly price and compete with other players
for new acquisitions on the margins, while ensuring
best execution on the disposition side of the
equation.
For our REIT readers, there are different
issues. For the largest REITs, it's how can
they achieve and sustain market dominance,
with all of the economies of scale, efficiencies
and superior access to lower cost capital that
it provides. For the mid-sized REITs, it's
how can they achieve the critical mass necessary
to compete for dominance within their market
niches. For the smaller REITs, it's how can
they survive without being subjected to a hostile
takeover bid from a larger, better capitalized
company or investor group. And for the smallest
REITs, it's how can they continue to operate
quietly undisturbed, under the radar screen,
until they can figure out what their next steps
should be. How to sustain continued growth
in earnings and shareholder value remains at
the top of every REIT executive's list, as
does how the current wave of public-to-private
acquisitions will continue to affect the industry.
For
REIT investment managers, the primary issue
is how to increase market share of the tax-exempt
investment market, while continuing to produce
competitive returns. Other concerns are how
to broaden distribution channels to reach ever-broader
constituencies (for tax-exempt advisers, the
issue would be how to access individual investors;
for mutual fund managers, the issue would be
how to access the tax-exempt investor markets;
for all managers, the issue is how to develop
market share in the exploding defined-contribution
pension marketplace).
Will consolidation in the industry continue?
Yes. Consolidation the drive toward greater
efficiency is a primary force in life
and can be expected to continue for some time.
Meanwhile, although the entry hurdle bar will
continue to rise, there will continue to be a
proliferation of new entrants to the markets
each year. Such has it ever been. Such will it
ever be.
What's the impact of the Internet on the real estate investment business?
Given the geometric increase in the amount of information that is now available to investors and the further geometric increases almost certain to come, it will become harder and harder for firms to differentiate themselves.
Access to low-cost information and low-cost technological tools to analyze that information will reduce size advantages and make it easier for smaller firms to compete with larger firms. The emergence of buyer clubs will provide some of the same economies of scale in purchasing once available only to the largest players in the markets. Smaller players, therefore, may be able to occupy niches at much less risk than larger players.
Relationships will continue to be important;
but relationships are built on mutual trust and
respect. Mutual trust and respect are built on
doing what you say you are going to do, and on
consistently meeting or exceeding expectations.
Consistently meeting or exceeding expectations
relies upon knowledge and skill. So knowledge
and skill will continue to be critical weapons
in the battle for market share or, more importantly,
share of mind.
What are the risk and return expectations
of pension funds investing directly in equity
real estate?
Most investors in "core" properties (i.e., high-quality,
stable, income-producing office, industrial,
multifamily and retail properties) expect to receive
around 8 percent to 9 percent on their unleveraged
real estate investments.
If they leverage, they tend to leverage assets
between 5 percent and 60 percent, with average
portfolio leverage ranging between 20 percent
and 40 percent. Leveraged return expectations
for core real estate investments, therefore,
range between 10 percent and 15 percent. Some
investors are beginning to look at the private
markets as a high-yield investment alternative
and, therefore, they demand and expect higher
returns from their real estate investment portfolios.
Investors expect value-added investment returns of between 12 percent and 15 percent and opportunistic returns in excess of 18 percent to 20 percent. Most of these investors expect their portfolios to be highly leveraged.
Many of the larger investors have both core and high-yield investment components within their portfolios and, therefore, have different risk/return expectations, depending upon the strategy for each portion of the portfolio. Some investors focus only on core strategies, others only on high-yield. The ability to find core properties at reasonable prices is becoming more and more difficult. Because of that, many investors are increasing the high-yield portion of the real estate portfolios.
Are pension funds interested in international investing?
Interest in international investing is exploding.
Surveys of the tax-exempt plan sponsor community
conducted by Institutional Real Estate, Inc.
in conjunction with Kingsley Associates show
that, year after year, pension funds plan to
increase their foreign holdings; now, two-thirds
of plan sponsor respondents indicate they are
currently invested in or are considering investing
in foreign real estate. The bulk of these investments
will consist of private equity investments
made via pooled funds that target specific
markets. The most popular countries are the
United Kingdom, Japan and the Western European
markets. Emerging markets, such as Eastern
Europe, China, Mexico and India, also are receiving
investors' attention.
What are the challenges facing leaders in commercial real estate?
Demographic changes will continue to have a dramatic
impact on both the make-up of the available
workforce and the needs of space users. The
two most significant challenges will be anticipating
the implications of an aging baby boomer population
— which may make traditional viewpoints of
supply and demand dynamics for certain property
types obsolete — and the implications of the
surge in immigration, particularly among Hispanic
and Asian populations.
Equally important, leaders will have to
respond to the challenge of continued institutionalization,
securitization and globalization of real
estate. This has implications for how capital
is formed, accessed and deployed, how customers
are serviced, and how entities must be organized
as well.
How are these changes affecting investors?
These changes are causing the traditional capital
sources to respond in a variety of ways. Some
are deliberately focusing on a "hit 'em where
they ain't" strategy,
identifying niches where the REITs and conduits
either can't or aren't playing right now. Others
are allowing discipline to slip. (It's easy
to maintain discipline if your discipline is
allowing you to take down deals. But when the
fifth or sixth or seventh deal slips away,
you start to believe that maybe you are the
one who doesn't understand market pricing.)
Others simply are sitting on the sidelines,
effectively, because they are holding to their
discipline and can't afford to compete. Still
others are floundering actively bidding,
losing every bid, and getting more and more
frustrated. These players either eventually
will move to the sidelines or will jump into
the feeding frenzy.
Where can I find a recent salary survey of the institutional real estate investment industry?
Each year Ferguson
Partners Ltd. in Chicago conducts
a compensation survey for the entire real estate
industry; it covers practices at advisers as
well as other segments of the industry (312)
368-5040. Also the National
Association of Real Estate Investment Managers has survey
results available free to its members; there's
a $5,000 charge to non-participating members
and a $7,500 charge to non-members.